Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.055178 2.236847 2.430606 2.653200 2.902545 3.174030 3.493038
2025-11-16 1.758925 2.001919 2.276464 2.611681 3.012708 3.480561 4.072822
2025-11-23 1.580118 1.856850 2.182830 2.599219 3.122829 3.767422 4.633600
2025-11-30 1.485572 1.792574 2.167029 2.664047 3.316665 4.159225 5.354407
2025-12-07 1.377239 1.697134 2.098333 2.647694 3.395231 4.399680 5.892252
2025-12-14 1.282645 1.609054 2.028291 2.618047 3.446081 4.599055 6.386202
2025-12-21 1.178634 1.499916 1.920576 2.525487 3.397016 4.647234 6.655871
2025-12-28 1.123982 1.451812 1.889736 2.534227 3.488669 4.902506 7.265034
2026-01-04 1.082400 1.417968 1.874872 2.562445 3.608283 5.207301 7.986496
2026-01-11 1.046559 1.389249 1.864308 2.594483 3.733985 5.530591 8.776937
2026-01-18 1.012405 1.360439 1.851026 2.620166 3.849987 5.846958 9.594489
2026-01-25 0.975516 1.325328 1.825895 2.624939 3.931347 6.111423 10.350951
2026-02-01 0.920830 1.262346 1.757135 2.558838 3.894229 6.174686 10.746794
2026-02-08 0.879370 1.216793 1.711979 2.526939 3.911286 6.334030 11.353625
2026-02-15 0.846497 1.182292 1.681498 2.516146 3.962568 6.558708 12.125307
2026-02-22 0.833502 1.176953 1.695368 2.578506 4.145989 7.046680 13.534025
2026-03-01 0.803613 1.144179 1.664208 2.562848 4.187500 7.266369 14.385641
2026-03-08 0.773025 1.108888 1.627126 2.534413 4.202658 7.434561 15.145165
2026-03-15 0.731645 1.055007 1.557610 2.445599 4.097938 7.349525 15.283387
2026-03-22 0.712941 1.036140 1.544064 2.453988 4.178267 7.654222 16.437835
2026-03-29 0.699053 1.024277 1.541291 2.481066 4.296493 8.051501 17.906854
2026-04-05 0.686600 1.014122 1.540719 2.511806 4.424102 8.483418 19.559500
2026-04-12 0.673644 1.002551 1.537084 2.536446 4.541083 8.904925 21.276904